Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.165471 0.237650 0.319920 0.418335 0.530863 0.653817 0.796746
2025-11-23 0.062154 0.141829 0.251186 0.398877 0.583178 0.797973 1.060621
2025-11-30 0.028098 0.104699 0.228215 0.409397 0.647368 0.934315 1.293968
2025-12-07 0.008048 0.071853 0.199681 0.404388 0.686566 1.037136 1.485719
2025-12-14 0.000283 0.044225 0.167746 0.386357 0.702707 1.106924 1.633874
2025-12-21 NaN 0.037398 0.169926 0.417075 0.783063 1.256672 1.879145
2025-12-28 NaN 0.032103 0.172978 0.448032 0.863168 1.405868 2.123759
2026-01-04 NaN 0.024696 0.168023 0.464482 0.922090 1.527340 2.333823
2026-01-11 NaN 0.023604 0.178412 0.506467 1.017414 1.696310 2.603478
2026-01-18 NaN 0.020626 0.182351 0.536970 1.096092 1.843574 2.846150
2026-01-25 NaN 0.014042 0.171866 0.540822 1.135300 1.938558 3.022902
2026-02-01 NaN 0.005383 0.143703 0.508903 1.119593 1.959372 3.104877
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000491 0.112471 0.467043 1.088645 1.961717 3.167266
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.096515 0.452551 1.098302 2.018513 3.299550
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.092194 0.462149 1.145313 2.126079 3.497036
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.082320 0.457237 1.168253 2.199976 3.650635
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.067839 0.437866 1.166060 2.237917 3.756652
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.073497 0.470688 1.250876 2.398452 4.023861
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.079187 0.503656 1.336052 2.559657 4.292172
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.079109 0.521154 1.395312 2.684376 4.512656
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.089051 0.565732 1.500254 2.873835 4.818593
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.094430 0.598057 1.584673 3.034414 5.086693
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.089355 0.602135 1.621591 3.127919 5.266615